In 2023, Will Vertex Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: VTNR) Be Bullish Or Bearish?

Vertex Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:VTNR) shares, rose in value on Thursday, 03/02/23, with the stock price up by 3.36% to the previous day’s close as strong demand from buyers drove the stock to $10.46.

Actively observing the price movement in the last trading, the stock closed the session at $10.12, falling within a range of $9.94 and $10.53. The value of beta (5-year monthly) was 2.15. Referring to stock’s 52-week performance, its high was $18.10, and the low was $5.42. On the whole, VTNR has fluctuated by 43.68% over the past month.

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With the market capitalization of Vertex Energy Inc. currently standing at about $821.42 million, investors are eagerly awaiting this quarter’s results, scheduled for May 08, 2023 – May 12, 2023. As a result, investors might want to see an improvement in the stock’s price before the company announces its earnings report. Analysts are projecting the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $0.34, which is expected to increase to $0.23 for fiscal year -$0.3 and then to about $1.26 by fiscal year 2023. Data indicates that the EPS growth is expected to be 16.70% in 2023, while the next year’s EPS growth is forecast to be 520.00%.

Analysts have estimated the company’s revenue for the quarter at $930.42 million, with a low estimate of $887.9 million and a high estimate of $957.88 million. According to the average forecast, sales growth in current quarter could jump up 2,905.40%, compared to the corresponding quarter of last year. Wall Street analysts also predicted that in 2023, the company’s y-o-y revenues would reach $2.79 billion, representing an increase of 2,310.60% from the revenues reported in the last year’s results.

Revisions could be a useful indicator to get insight on short-term price movement; so for the company, there were no upward and no downward review(s) in last seven days. We see that VTNR’s technical picture suggests that short-term indicators denote the stock is a 50% Buy on average. However, medium term indicators have put the stock in the category of 50% Sell while long term indicators on average have been pointing out that it is a 50% Buy.

6 analyst(s) have assigned their ratings of the stock’s forecast evaluation on a scale of 1.00-5.00 to indicate a strong buy to a strong sell recommendation. The stock is rated as a Hold by 1 analyst(s), 5 recommend it as a Buy and 0 called the VTNR stock Overweight. In the meantime, 0 analyst(s) believe the stock as Underweight and 0 think it is a Sell. Thus, investors eager to increase their holdings of the company’s stock will have an opportunity to do so as the average rating for the stock is Buy.

The stock’s technical analysis shows that the PEG ratio is about 0, with the price of VTNR currently trading nearly 31.18% and 47.49% away from the simple moving averages for 20 and 50 days respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently indicates a reading of 77.44, while the 7-day volatility ratio is showing 6.42% which for the 30-day chart, stands at 6.65%. Furthermore, Vertex Energy Inc. (VTNR)’s beta value is 2.11, and its average true range (ATR) is 0.56. The company’s stock has been forecasted to trade at an average price of $13.58 over the course of the next 52 weeks, with a low of $7.50 and a high of $15.00. Based on these price targets, the low is 28.3% off current price, whereas the price has to move -43.4% to reach the yearly target high. Additionally, analysts’ median price of $15.00 is likely to be welcomed by investors because it represents a decrease of -43.4% from the current levels.

A comparison of Vertex Energy Inc. (VTNR) with its peers suggests the former has fared considerably weaker in the market. VTNR showed an intraday change of 3.36% in last session, and over the past year, it grew by 58.01%%. In comparison, Heritage-Crystal Clean Inc (HCCI) has moved lower at -4.17% on the day and was up 28.19% over the past 12 months. Additionally, there is a loss of -0.29% for Perma-Fix Environmental Services Inc. (PESI) in last trading while the stock has seen an overall depriciation of 21.91%% over the past year. Other than that, the overall performance of the S&P 500 during the last trading session shows that it gained 0.76%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Improved by 1.05%.

Data on historical trading for Vertex Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:VTNR) indicates that the trading volumes over the past 10 days have averaged 3.48 million and over the past 3 months, they’ve averaged 2.71 million. According to company’s latest data on outstanding shares, there are 75.59 million shares outstanding.

Nearly 0.50% of Vertex Energy Inc.’s shares belong to company insiders and institutional investors own 54.80% of the company’s shares. The data on short interest also indicates that stock shorts accounted for 22.95 million shares as on Jan 30, 2023, resulting in a short ratio of 11.13. According to the data, the short interest in Vertex Energy Inc. (VTNR) stood at 30.33% of shares outstanding as of Jan 30, 2023; the number of short shares registered in Dec 29, 2022 reached 21.91 million. The stock has risen by 68.71% since the beginning of the year, thereby showing the potential of a further growth. This could raise investors’ confidence to be optimistic about the VTNR stock heading into the next quarter.